Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000196 0.000217 0.000239 0.000265 0.000294 0.000325 0.000362
2025-10-12 0.000159 0.000189 0.000225 0.000269 0.000324 0.000389 0.000474
2025-10-19 0.000134 0.000168 0.000210 0.000267 0.000342 0.000437 0.000570
2025-10-26 0.000118 0.000155 0.000202 0.000269 0.000362 0.000489 0.000677
2025-11-02 0.000104 0.000142 0.000192 0.000266 0.000374 0.000528 0.000769
2025-11-09 0.000094 0.000132 0.000185 0.000265 0.000388 0.000570 0.000872
2025-11-16 0.000085 0.000122 0.000176 0.000261 0.000395 0.000603 0.000962
2025-11-23 0.000077 0.000113 0.000167 0.000254 0.000396 0.000626 0.001040
2025-11-30 0.000072 0.000109 0.000165 0.000258 0.000416 0.000680 0.001176
2025-12-07 0.000069 0.000106 0.000163 0.000263 0.000437 0.000739 0.001330
2025-12-14 0.000063 0.000099 0.000156 0.000258 0.000439 0.000765 0.001426
2025-12-21 0.000058 0.000092 0.000148 0.000248 0.000433 0.000774 0.001490
2025-12-28 0.000055 0.000089 0.000147 0.000253 0.000454 0.000839 0.001683
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000087 0.000145 0.000257 0.000476 0.000909 0.001898
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000082 0.000141 0.000255 0.000485 0.000954 0.002068
2026-01-18 0.000046 0.000080 0.000139 0.000257 0.000502 0.001019 0.002299
2026-01-25 0.000043 0.000076 0.000134 0.000254 0.000508 0.001060 0.002478
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000073 0.000131 0.000254 0.000519 0.001115 0.002702
2026-02-08 0.000039 0.000069 0.000127 0.000249 0.000522 0.001151 0.002884
2026-02-15 0.000036 0.000065 0.000121 0.000243 0.000519 0.001172 0.003029
2026-02-22 0.000035 0.000064 0.000121 0.000247 0.000540 0.001254 0.003365
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000063 0.000121 0.000252 0.000564 0.001348 0.003758
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000060 0.000117 0.000246 0.000563 0.001378 0.003960